Academy
RagDoll1987
Out of passion, I am a statistician who has been combining sports with mathematical analysis for years. My picks are based solely on hard data, never intuition or “gut feeling.” I use professional bookmakers and focus on long-term capital stability rather than short-term swings.
I apply progression systems:
6-step progression on a full-time draw (1u, 2u, 4u, 6u, 8u, 10u) – I recommend classic staking,
4-step progression on a half-time draw (1u, 2u, 4u, 8u).
Each pick comes with a detailed description and statistical context. I always provide the values of several key statistical indicators, and it is worth understanding their meaning:
SD (standard deviation) – stability of a team’s results over the long term,
CV (coefficient of variation) – fluctuations in the number of draws between seasons,
ASBR (actual series without a draw) – current streak without a draw,
NSBR (longest series without a draw) – the maximum streak in a given season,
% of draws – share of draws in the team’s results since the start of the season.
Thanks to this approach, the success rate of completed progressions remains at 94.7%, which translates into a 7–10% annual yield in a minimum one-year perspective.
My motto:
“Odds don’t play – mathematics and consistency do.”
Statistics
Yield
-5.14%
Profit
-187.98 u.
Hit rate
34.46%
(397/1152)
Odds avg.
3.22
Stake sum
3657 u.
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Tips archive
10 last tips
| Date | League | Event | Pick | Odds | Stake | Bookmaker | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-09-2026 01:00
02-09-2026 17:58
| Deportivo Pereira Independiente Medellin | remis cały mecz | 3.66 | 1 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | -1.00
| |
01-09-2026 00:15
31-08-2026 18:14
| Tigre Victoria Barracas Central | remis cały mecz | 3.16 | 1 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | +2.16
| |
30-08-2026 18:15
30-08-2026 14:54
| St. Louis Pittsburgh | Total Runs Range +13 | 5.46 | 4 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | -4.00
| |
30-08-2026 18:10
30-08-2026 14:52
| Minnesota White Sox | Total Runs Range +13 | 4.37 | 4 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | -4.00
| |
30-08-2026 16:15
30-08-2026 14:50
| Washington Miami | Total Runs Range +13 | 3.79 | 10 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | -10.00
| |
30-08-2026 10:30
29-08-2026 13:23
| Jeju Utd Daejeon Citizen | remis cały mecz | 3.42 | 1 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | -1.00
| |
30-08-2026 10:30
29-08-2026 13:25
| Gangwon FC Pohang Steelers | remis cały mecz | 3.34 | 8 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | +18.72
| |
29-08-2026 20:05
29-08-2026 13:31
| Washington Miami | Total Runs Range +13 | 5.41 | 8 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | -8.00
| |
29-08-2026 18:15
29-08-2026 13:35
| St. Louis Pittsburgh | Total Runs Range +13 | 4.99 | 2 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | -2.00
| |
29-08-2026 18:10
29-08-2026 13:33
| Minnesota White Sox | Total Runs Range +13 | 3.69 | 2 | Pinnacle/PS3838 | -2.00
|