Out of passion, I am a statistician who has been combining sports with mathematical analysis for years. My picks are based solely on hard data, never intuition or “gut feeling.” I use professional bookmakers and focus on long-term capital stability rather than short-term swings.

I apply progression systems:

6-step progression on a full-time draw (1u, 2u, 4u, 6u, 8u, 10u) – I recommend classic staking,

4-step progression on a half-time draw (1u, 2u, 4u, 8u).

Each pick comes with a detailed description and statistical context. I always provide the values of several key statistical indicators, and it is worth understanding their meaning:

SD (standard deviation) – stability of a team’s results over the long term,

CV (coefficient of variation) – fluctuations in the number of draws between seasons,

ASBR (actual series without a draw) – current streak without a draw,

NSBR (longest series without a draw) – the maximum streak in a given season,

% of draws – share of draws in the team’s results since the start of the season.

Thanks to this approach, the success rate of completed progressions remains at 94.7%, which translates into a 7–10% annual yield in a minimum one-year perspective.

My motto:
“Odds don’t play – mathematics and consistency do.”